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Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Democratic candidate against a possible Republican candidate.

Contents

  • Alaska 1
  • Arizona 2
  • Arkansas 3
  • California 4
  • Colorado 5
  • Connecticut 6
  • Florida 7
  • Georgia 8
  • Idaho 9
  • Iowa 10
  • Kansas 11
  • Kentucky 12
  • Louisiana 13
  • Maine 14
  • Maryland 15
  • Michigan 16
  • Minnesota 17
  • Mississippi 18
  • Montana 19
  • Nevada 20
  • New Hampshire 21
  • New Jersey 22
  • New Mexico 23
  • New York 24
  • North Carolina 25
  • Ohio 26
  • Oklahoma 27
  • Oregon 28
  • Pennsylvania 29
  • South Carolina 30
  • Texas 31
  • Virginia 32
  • West Virginia 33
  • Wisconsin 34
  • Wyoming 35
  • See also 36
  • External links 37

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 44% 5 880 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 36% Chris Christie 46% 10
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 40% Mike Huckabee 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 45% 5
Public Policy Polling July 31–August 3, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9 673 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 34% Chris Christie 45% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 47% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Sarah Palin 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 36% Rand Paul 50% 14
Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 47% 6 582 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 46% 6
Public Policy Polling January 30–February 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 47% 8 850 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Sarah Palin 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 47% 6
Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 890 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 46% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Sarah Palin 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 47% 1
Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 1,129 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Sarah Palin 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling February 28–March 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jan Brewer 39% 7 870 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 21–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% "Republican nominee" 47% 9 568 ± 4.1%
Gravis Marketing September 8–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 902 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 48% 6
Public Policy Polling August 1–3, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5 1,066 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 39% Mike Huckabee 55% 16
Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 45% 3
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 840 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Polling Company/WomenTrend August 6–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 42% 2 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 45% 3

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing July 22–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9 580 ± 4%
Elizabeth Warren 33% Rand Paul 44% 11

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling July 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 40% 1 653 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Quinnipiac July 10–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 40% 4 1,147 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 40% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 46% 3
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 40% 5 1,298 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 48% 5
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 568 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Quinnipiac January 29–February 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1 1,139 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 48% 5
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 928 ±3.2%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 47% 2
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 46% 8 1,206 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 45% 2
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 1,184 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Joe Biden 33% Chris Christie 50% 17
Joe Biden 39% Ted Cruz 45% 6
Quinnipiac June 5–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 44% 3 1,065 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 46% 1
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 48% 16
Joe Biden 35% Marco Rubio 48% 13
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 45% 3 500 ±4.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 44% 4
John Hickenlooper 47% Rand Paul 45% 2
John Hickenlooper 47% Marco Rubio 45% 2

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 2–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13 861 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 32% 22
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 35% 19
Gravis Marketing August 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 36% 9 440 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 33% 15

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 22–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 861 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing October 11–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 36% 1 1,023 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 35% 8
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2 818 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Gravis Marketing August 14–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 37% 2 859 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 35% 9
SurveyUSA August 15–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7 852 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Mitt Romney 47% 8
SurveyUSA July 31–August 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 40% 10 859 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 43% Rick Perry 44% 1
Quinnipiac July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,251 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 38% 13
SurveyUSA July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 836 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 48% 9
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA June 30–July 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4 849 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
SurveyUSA June 23–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14 834 ± 3.5%
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA June 5–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 850 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 45% 1 672 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Saint Leo University May 28-June 4, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2 500 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Quinnipiac April 23–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8 1,413 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 37% 18
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 36% 20
Quinnipiac January 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,565 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 38% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 39% 13
Quinnipiac November 12–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 45% 2 1,646 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 43% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 42% 8
Gravis Marketing November 8–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 45% 4 932 ± 3%
Quinnipiac June 11–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 43% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 41% 12
Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 47% 4
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Public Policy Polling March 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 41% 13
Quinnipiac March 13–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 40% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 41% 11
Public Policy Polling January 11–13, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 44% 5 501 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 46% 4

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 2–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1 895 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Herman Cain 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Newt Gingrich 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 520 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Newt Gingrich 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Sarah Palin 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 44% 3
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Newt Gingrich 44% 7 602 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 45% 5

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 33% Jeb Bush 50% 17 522 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 33% Chris Christie 44% 11
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 50% 16
Hillary Clinton 34% Mike Huckabee 52% 18
Hillary Clinton 33% Rand Paul 52% 19

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos October 23–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 36% 8 1,129 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 37% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 36% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Paul Ryan 41% 1
Joe Biden 33% Jeb Bush 40% 7
Joe Biden 30% Chris Christie 41% 11
Joe Biden 33% Rand Paul 39% 6
Joe Biden 32% Paul Ryan 45% 13
Andrew Cuomo 30% Jeb Bush 36% 6
Andrew Cuomo 24% Chris Christie 39% 15
Andrew Cuomo 30% Rand Paul 37% 7
Andrew Cuomo 27% Paul Ryan 41% 14
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42.6% Jeb Bush 43.5% 0.9 964 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Paul Ryan 44% 1
The Iowa Poll October 3–8, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,107 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 38% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 35% 10
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Mitt Romney 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 37% 8
Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 522 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 44% Tied
Public Policy Polling September 25–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied 1,192 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12 832 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 45% Tied 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 40% 9 832 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 37% 13
Quinnipiac June 12–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 36% 13 1,277 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 36% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 41% 6
Loras College June 4–5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48.7% Jeb Bush 38.2% 5 600 ± 10.5%
Hillary Clinton 47.5% Chris Christie 39% 8.5
Hillary Clinton 49.7% Mike Huckabee 39.8% 9.9
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 37.5% 14.5
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38.7% 11.3
Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 39% 5 914 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
The Polling Company April 13–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43.8% Jeb Bush 39% 4.8 600 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 41.8% Chris Christie 38.9% 2.9
Hillary Clinton 43.8% Mike Huckabee 44.1% 0.3
Hillary Clinton 44.3% Bobby Jindal 39.6% 4.7
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Rand Paul 44.3% 1
Hillary Clinton 43.8% Mike Pence 32% 11.8
Hillary Clinton 43.4% Marco Rubio 42.3% 1.1
Hillary Clinton 45.9% Scott Walker 40.4% 5.5
Quinnipiac March 5–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 1,411 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 869 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 39% 6
Quinnipiac December 10–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 45% 5 1,617 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Harper Polling November 23–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38.12% Chris Christie 43.35% 5.23 985 ± 3.12%
Hillary Clinton 46.40% Paul Ryan 42.57% 3.83
Hillary Clinton 45.21% Marco Rubio 40.79% 4.42
Hillary Clinton 46.82% Rand Paul 41.06% 5.76
Hillary Clinton 47.37% Ted Cruz 40.45% 6.92
Quinnipiac July 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 41% Tied 1,256 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 39% 7
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 49% 17
Joe Biden 39% Scott Walker 42% 3
Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 36% 7 668 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14
Quinnipiac May 15–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4 1,411 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 37% 11
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 44% 5
Joe Biden 39% Marco Rubio 40% 1
Public Policy Polling January 31–February 3, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 44% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Joe Biden 44% Chris Christie 44% Tied
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 49% Paul Ryan 45% 4
Joe Biden 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 1,124 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 37% Rand Paul 50% 13
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 48% 11 1,081 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 45% 5
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 850 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Rand Paul 48% 10
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 46% 6 1,328 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 43% 2
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6 903 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 41% Mike Huckabee 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 45% 4
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 50% 9 693 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 46% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Rand Paul 48% 7
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5 1,229 ±2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Paul Ryan 50% 7

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 11–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 48% 3 1,020 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 36% Rand Paul 49% 13
Public Policy Polling August 7–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 48% 5 991 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Gravis Marketing July 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 50% 6 1,054 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 34% Rand Paul 52% 18
Survey USA May 14–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 48% 4 1,782 ± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling December 12–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 46% 4 1,509 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 49% 6
Public Policy Polling April 5–7, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 45% Tied 1,052 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Public Policy Polling December 7–9, 2012 Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5 1,266 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 25–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 49% 8 1,141 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Mike Huckabee 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Bobby Jindal 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Gravis Marketing September 5–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 48% 5 426 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 664 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Bobby Jindal 44% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 46% Tied
Magellan Strategies March 24–26, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40.4% Bobby Jindal 45% 4.6 600 ± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 50% 7 635 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Mike Huckabee 49% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Bobby Jindal 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 47% 4
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 721 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Bobby Jindal 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 46% 2
Harper Polling August 14–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Bobby Jindal 42% 2 596 ± 4.01%
Public Policy Polling February 8–12, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Bobby Jindal 45% 3 603 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 46% Tied

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 32% 23 964 ±3.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Hillary Clinton 57% Rand Paul 32% 25

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 35% 17 784 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 36% 15

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 687 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 578 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 34% 16
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 825 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 39% 9
Marketing Resource Group March 24–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6 600 ± 4.1%
EPIC-MRA February 5–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4 600 ± 4%
Harper Polling January 7–8, 2014 Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 38% 2 1,004 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 36% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 41% 3
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,034 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 39% 9
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 697 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 35% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 36% 17
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14 702 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 41% 11

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 Hillary Clinton 52% Michele Bachmann 35% 17 633 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Tim Pawlenty 42% 6
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 38% 6 1,065 ± 3%
Amy Klobuchar 42% Chris Christie 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 37% 13
Amy Klobuchar 48% Marco Rubio 36% 12

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling July 10–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 47% 5 691 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 45% 2
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 50% 8 502 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 46% 2

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing November 24–25, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 50% 12 836 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 52% 13
Hillary Clinton 37% Nikki Haley 45% 8
Hillary Clinton 37% Rand Paul 55% 18
Hillary Clinton 38% Paul Ryan 54% 16
Gravis Marketing October 23–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 43% 5 604 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 48% 9
Hillary Clinton 39% Paul Ryan 46% 7
Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 36% Jeb Bush 45% 9 535 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 38% Rand Paul 46% 8
Hillary Clinton 37% Paul Ryan 51% 14
Gravis Marketing July 20–22, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 49% 10 741 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11 952 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 34% Chris Christie 51% 17
Hillary Clinton 39% Ted Cruz 50% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 52% 13
Brian Schweitzer 41% Jeb Bush 46% 5
Brian Schweitzer 39% Chris Christie 47% 8
Brian Schweitzer 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Brian Schweitzer 42% Rand Paul 50% 8
Public Policy Polling June 21–23, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 807 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 45% 5
Brian Schweitzer 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7
Brian Schweitzer 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Public Policy Polling February 15–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 50% 8 1,011 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 51% 7
Brian Schweitzer 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Brian Schweitzer 45% Paul Ryan 49% 4

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Harper Polling July 26–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 602 ± 3.99%
Hillary Clinton 48% Susana Martínez 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Purple Insights November 12–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1
NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42.1% Jeb Bush 32.2% 9.9 412 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 36.5% Chris Christie 34.4% 2.1
Hillary Clinton 38.3% Mike Huckabee 36.2% 2.1
Hillary Clinton 35.8% Rand Paul 38.4% 2.6
Purple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,052 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 44% 2
Elizabeth Warren 35% Jeb Bush 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 33% Chris Christie 45% 12
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,354 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 32% 19
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 37% 13
Public Policy Polling September 13–16,2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Kelly Ayotte 42% 8 1,038 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 41% 9
Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 Hillary Clinton 37.1% Chris Christie 32.3% 4.8 433 ± 4.7%
Hillary Clinton 44.3% Marco Rubio 33.2% 11.1
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11 933 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 38% 14

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University September 25–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 32% 21 1,475 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 31% 24
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 1–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 32% 19 721 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 33% 15
Rutgers-Eagleton July 28–August 5, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 40% 11 750 ± 4%
Quinnipiac July 31–August 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 34% 20 1,148 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Mike Huckabee 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 35% 20
Rutgers February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 41% 10 842 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 29% 29
Hillary Clinton 58% Paul Ryan 33% 25
Rutgers January 22, 2014 Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 34% 21 ? ± ?
Monmouth University December 4-8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3 698/802 ± 3.5%
Andrew Cuomo 33% Chris Christie 52% 19
NBC News/exit poll November 6, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 44% 4 ? ± ?
Quinnipiac September 23-29, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13 1,497 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 36% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 31% 23
Pulse Opinion Research September 19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 43% 5 1,000 ± ?
NBC News/Marist April 28–May 2, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 41% 11 1,095 ± 3%
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 51% 11
Quinnipiac February 13–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 45% 4 1,149 ± 2.9%
Andrew Cuomo 36% Chris Christie 54% 18
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 40% 12 600 ± 4%
Joe Biden 41% Chris Christie 47% 6
Andrew Cuomo 35% Chris Christie 50% 15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing September 27–October 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14 727 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 36% 13
Public Policy Polling March 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 37% 16 674 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 37% 17
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Susana Martinez 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 36% 15

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Quinnipiac August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 60% Jeb Bush 29% 31 1,034 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 61% Rand Paul 30% 31
Andrew Cuomo 53% Jeb Bush 30% 23
Andrew Cuomo 47% Chris Christie 37% 10
Andrew Cuomo 55% Rand Paul 31% 24
Siena February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 64% Chris Christie 28% 36 814 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 67% Rand Paul 24% 43
Hillary Clinton 64% Paul Ryan 27% 37
Quinnipiac February 6–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 31% 27 1,488 ± 2.5%
Andrew Cuomo 50% Chris Christie 34% 16
Siena January 12–16, 2014 Hillary Clinton 60% Chris Christie 32% 28 808 ± 3.4%
Andrew Cuomo 55% Chris Christie 35% 20
Marist November 18–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 57% Chris Christie 39% 18 675 ± 3.8%
Andrew Cuomo 51% Chris Christie 44% 7
Siena November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 56% Chris Christie 40% 16 806 ± 3.5%
Andrew Cuomo 42% Chris Christie 47% 5
Quinnipiac March 11–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 59% Chris Christie 32% 27 1,165 ± 2.9%
Andrew Cuomo 46% Chris Christie 38% 8

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 47% 2 1,006 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 34% Rand Paul 47% 13
Gravis Marketing October 16–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Rand Paul 48% 6 1,022 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 32% Rand Paul 48% 16
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 45% 1 860 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 33% Rand Paul 46% 13
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 1,266 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 856 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Civitas Institute July 28–29, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 48% 1 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 47% 4
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 50% 6
Joe Biden 42% Chris Christie 49% 7
Joe Biden 44% Rand Paul 49% 5
Gravis Marketing July 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 43% 2 1,380 ± 3%
Elizabeth Warren 35% Rand Paul 44% 9
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 1,076 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Public Policy Polling May 9–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 877 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 40% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 44% 1
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 740 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling March 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 46% 1 884 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 43% 6
Public Policy Polling February 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 708 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,384 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 45% 1 1,281 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 44% 4
Public Policy Polling November 8–11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 41% 9
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 40% 12 601 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 38% 10 803 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rick Perry 39% 10
Quinnipiac July 24–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 37% 11 1,366 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Quinnipiac May 7–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 1,174 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 41% 7
Quinnipiac February 12–17, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 36% 15 1,370 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 51% John Kasich 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 38% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 36% 14
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
Quinnipiac November 19–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13 1,361 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 41% 8
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14 551 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 36% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 36% 16
Quinnipiac June 18–23, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 42% Tied 941 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Joe Biden 32% Chris Christie 50% 18
Joe Biden 40% Rand Paul 49% 9

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling May 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 36% 15 956 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 39% 12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 37% 14 835 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 34% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Mike Huckabee 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 40% 11
Quinnipiac May 29–June 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 35% 16 1,308 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38% 12
Quinnipiac February 19–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 36% 17 1,405 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 38% 15
Hillary Clinton 53% Rick Santorum 37% 16
Quinnipiac December 11–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 36% 16 1,061 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 38% 13
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 44% 4 693 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 43% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 42% 9
Quinnipiac May 30–June 4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 37% 15 1,032 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 53% Rick Santorum 36% 17
Joe Biden 45% Rand Paul 41% 4
Joe Biden 46% Rick Santorum 39% 7
Public Policy Polling March 8–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 37% 15 504 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 55% Rick Santorum 38% 17
Quinnipiac March 6-11, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 42% 5 1,116 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 36% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Paul Ryan 38% 17
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 51% 13
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Joe Biden 44% Paul Ryan 47% 13
Andrew Cuomo 32% Chris Christie 53% 21
Andrew Cuomo 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Andrew Cuomo 44% Paul Ryan 41% 3

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Harper Polling October 27–28, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 43% 5 676 ± 3.77%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 47% 7

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling April 10–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 50% 8 559 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Mike Huckabee 50% 8
Hillary Clinton 40% Rand Paul 50% 10
Hillary Clinton 44% Rick Perry 49% 5
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 49% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 39% Chris Christie 44% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 45% 2
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 46% 3 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 47% 9
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 49% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 44% 4
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 43% 2 500 ±4.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Roanoke College September 13–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 37% 10 630 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 37% 13
Roanoke College July 14–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10 566 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 38% 9
Quinnipiac March 19–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8 1,288 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Roanoke College February 22–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 40% 8 707 ± 3.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 40% 11
Christopher Newport University February 23–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 38% 13 901 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Mike Huckabee 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 37% 15
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 35% 11
Washington Free Beacon November 19–20, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 44% 2 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 43% 7
Mark Warner 42% Chris Christie 41% 1
Mark Warner 52% Ted Cruz 37% 15
Mark Warner 53% Rand Paul 39% 14
Harper Polling September 15–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 41% Tied 779 ± 3.51%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 40% 7
Purple Strategies September 6–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 40% 2 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
Quinnipiac August 14–19, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9 1,374 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 34% 17
Joe Biden 37% Chris Christie 44% 7
Joe Biden 47% Ted Cruz 37% 10
Quinnipiac July 11–15, 2013 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5 1,030 ±3.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 37% 14
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 46% 8
Joe Biden 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Public Policy Polling July 11–14, 2013 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 41% 1 601 ±4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Bob McDonnell 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 37% 12
Public Policy Polling May 24–26, 2013 Hillary Clinton 48% Bob McDonnell 42% 6 672 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Quinnipiac May 8–13, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 38% 13 1,286 ±2.7%
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 40% 10
Mark Warner 51% Marco Rubio 33% 18
Mark Warner 50% Paul Ryan 37% 13
NBC News/Marist April 28–May 2, 2012 Hillary Clinton 52% Bob McDonnell 41% 11 1,095 ±3%
Joe Biden 42% Bob McDonnell 49% 7
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 Mark Warner 50% Bob McDonnell 37% 13 680 ±3.8%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling September 19–22, 2013 Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 52% 14 1,110 ±2.9%
Hillary Clinton 38% Chris Christie 47% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% Rand Paul 49% 10
Hillary Clinton 38% Paul Ryan 50% 12

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 51% 7 837 ± 3%
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 46% 1 908 ± 3%
Gravis Marketing July 31–August 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Paul Ryan 48% 1 1,346 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 39% 11 1,144 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Scott Walker 44% 7
Marquette University October 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40.3% 9.7 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 55.3% Ted Cruz 33.4% 21.9
Hillary Clinton 50.7% Paul Ryan 43% 7.7
Hillary Clinton 53.3% Scott Walker 40.6% 12.7
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,180 ±2.9%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 44% 5
Marquette University May 6–9, 2013 Hillary Clinton 46.5% Chris Christie 40% 6.5 717 ±3.7%
Hillary Clinton 50.8% Rand Paul 37.2% 13.6
Hillary Clinton 51.1% Marco Rubio 34.9% 16.2
Hillary Clinton 48.5% Paul Ryan 43.5% 5
Hillary Clinton 50.2% Scott Walker 41.7% 8.5
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 38% 14 1,799 ±2.3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 43% 8
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 41% 13

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton 31% Jeb Bush 58% 27 1,203 ±2.8%
Hillary Clinton 28% Chris Christie 56% 28
Hillary Clinton 32% Rand Paul 58% 26
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 56% 24
Hillary Clinton 32% Paul Ryan 59% 27

See also

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling

External links

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