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Tasmanian state election, 2014

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Tasmanian state election, 2014

Tasmanian state election, 2014

15 March 2014

All 25 seats in the House of Assembly
13 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Will Hodgman Lara Giddings Nick McKim
Party Liberal Labor Greens
Leader since 30 March 2006 24 January 2011 7 July 2008
Leader's seat Franklin Franklin Franklin
Last election 10 seats; 38.99% 10 seats; 36.88% 5 seats; 21.61%
Seats won 15 7 3
Seat change Increase 5 Decrease 3 Decrease 2
Popular vote 167,051 89,130 45,098
Percentage 51.22 27.33 13.83
Swing Increase 12.23 Decrease 9.55 Decrease 7.78

Premier before election

Lara Giddings
Labor

Elected Premier

Will Hodgman
Liberal

The 2014 Tasmanian state election was held on 15 March 2014 to elect all 25 members to the House of Assembly.[1] The 16-year incumbent Labor government, led by the Premier of Tasmania Lara Giddings, attempted to win a fifth consecutive term against the Liberal opposition, led by Opposition Leader Will Hodgman. Also contesting the election was the Greens, currently led by Nick McKim.

The House of Assembly uses the proportional Hare-Clark system to elect 25 members in five constituencies electing five members each. Upper house elections in the 15-seat single-member district Legislative Council use full-preference instant-runoff voting, with election dates staggered and conducted separately from lower house state elections. The election was conducted by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Before the election, Hodgman had promised that he would only govern in majority. ABC News election analyst Antony Green suggested Hodgman's promise could have come back to haunt him if the Palmer United Party, which made a significant effort in the election, were to siphon off enough votes to deny the Liberals a majority.[2] However, this was mooted when the Liberals picked up an additional seat in every electorate except Denison, assuring them of a majority.[3] By 10:00 pm on election night, Giddings had conceded defeat on behalf of Labor, after the Liberals had claimed victory with at least fourteen seats in the 25-seat legislature.[4]

Results

Tasmanian state election, 15 March 2014[5]
House of Assembly
<< 2010next >>

Enrolled voters 366,442
Votes cast 346,423 Turnout 94.54 +0.68
Informal votes 16,432 Informal 4.74 +0.30
Summary of votes by party
Party Primary votes % Swing Seats Change
  Liberal 167,051 51.22 +12.23 15 +5
  Labor 89,130 27.33 −9.55 7 −3
  Greens 45,098 13.83 −7.78 3 −2
  Palmer United 16,198 4.97 +4.97 0 0
  National 2,655 0.81 +0.81 0 0
  Christians 1,215 0.37 +0.37 0 0
  Socialist Alliance 664 0.20 +0.00 0 0
  Independent 4,152 1.27 −1.05 0 0
Total 326,163     25  

Primary vote percentages by division

Bass Braddon Denison Franklin Lyons
Australian Labor Party 23.27% 23.24% 33.79% 28.61% 27.69%
Liberal Party of Australia 57.22% 58.76% 38.28% 49.84% 51.94%
Tasmanian Greens 12.72% 7.03% 21.19% 16.79% 11.40%
Other 6.79% 10.97% 6.74% 4.76% 8.97%

Current distribution of seats

Electorate Seats held
Bass          
Braddon          
Denison          
Franklin          
Lyons          
  Labor
  Liberal
  Green

Damage to ballot papers

On 16 March, the day after the election, the Tasmanian Electoral Commission announced that a machine being used to open envelopes containing postal votes from the Denison electorate had been operated improperly, resulting in damage to 2,338 ballot papers. Whilst 2,175 ballot papers were repaired and admitted to the count, 163 papers were too badly damaged to be used and were counted as informal.[6]

Date

Under section 23 of the Constitution Act 1934, the House of Assembly expires four years from the return of the writs for its election, in this case 7 April 2010.[7] The Governor must issue writs of election between five and ten days thereafter.[8] Nominations must close on a date seven to 21 days after the issuance of the writ,[9] and polling day must be a Saturday between 15 and 30 days after nominations close,[10] making the last possible date 7 June 2014.

On 16 January 2014, Premier Lara Giddings announced she would recall Parliament for a single session on 28 January for the sole purpose of ensuring the validity of permits for the Bell Bay Pulp Mill. She said that once the legislation was passed, she would ask the Governor of Tasmania to prorogue the parliament and issue writs for an election to be held on 15 March. Giddings announced that Greens Nick McKim and Cassy O'Connor would be expelled from cabinet as of 17 January, that the power sharing arrangement between Labor and the Greens was over, and that Labor would no longer govern with Greens in cabinet.[11]

The 2014 South Australian state election occurred on the same day for the third time in a row.

Background

The results from the previous election saw a tie between the two major parties, who both won ten seats. The Greens, led by Nick McKim, won five seats and held the balance of power. The outcome in all five multimember seats was two Labor, two Liberal, and one Green. The Liberals were ahead on the popular vote by a margin of over 6,700 votes and both Premier David Bartlett and Opposition Leader Hodgman agreed that Hodgman thus had the right to form a government.[12] Labor went as far as to vote to relinquish power and advise the Governor, Peter Underwood, to summon Hodgman to be commissioned as the new premier.[13]

However, on 9 April, Underwood recommissioned Bartlett, detailing several reasons for his decision including incumbency and a higher chance of stability.[14] The Liberal Party have tabled motions of no-confidence in parliament against the Labor government, but these have been unsuccessful.[15]

An interim cabinet was sworn in on 13 April, with Bartlett as Premier and Labor deputy leader Lara Giddings as Deputy Premier.[16] On 24 January 2011, Bartlett stood down from the premiership to be replaced by Giddings who was elected unopposed as Tasmania's first female Premier.[17][18]

Retiring MPs

Labor

Polling

Polling is regularly conducted for Tasmanian state politics by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services (EMRS). Unlike other pollsters, EMRS don't "prompt" their respondents for an answer on the first request, contributing to the large "undecided" percentage. The sample size for each poll is 1,000 Tasmanian voters.[21]

See also

External links

  • Tasmanian Electoral Commission: House of Assembly Elections '14
  • 2014 Tasmanian election guide: Antony Green ABC
  • EMRS Tasmanian state polling

References

  1. ^
  2. ^ Green, Antony. 2014 Tasmanian election preview. ABC News, 2014-01-17.
  3. ^
  4. ^
  5. ^
  6. ^ Damage to Denison ballot papers, Tasmanian Electoral Commission, 16 March 2014.
  7. ^
  8. ^ Electoral Act 2004, section 63.
  9. ^ Electoral Act 2004, section 69.
  10. ^ Electoral Act 2004, section 70.
  11. ^
  12. ^
  13. ^
  14. ^
  15. ^ Labor, Greens defeat 'no confidence' move, ABC News, 5 May 2010.
  16. ^ Media ban as Bartlett government sworn in, ABC News, 13 April 2010.
  17. ^
  18. ^
  19. ^
  20. ^
  21. ^ [1], EMRS, November 2013.
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