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United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2010

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United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2010

The 2010 House election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2010 to elect the state's At-large Representative to the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the person elected will serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013. North Dakota has one seat in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States Census.

The election was held concurrently with the United States Senate elections of 2010 (including one in North Dakota), the United States House elections in other states and various state and local elections.

Background

Despite Republican dominance in Presidential elections in North Dakota (which hasn't voted Democratic since 1964) as well as state and local elections, Democrats have since the late 1980s achieved several consecutive victories in Congressional elections in the state. Democrats have held the state's at-large House seat since 1981 when Incumbent Republican Representative Mark Andrews retired from the House of Representatives to run for and subsequently win election to the Senate in 1980. Following the 1986 Congressional elections, Democrats gained North Dakota's Class III U.S. Senate seat in addition to having already held the state's other Senate seat, thus giving Democrats control of both its U.S. Senate seats for the first time in North Dakota's history. From 1987 to date, North Dakota has had a completely Democratic Congressional delegation.

Since first being elected in 1992, incumbent Democrat Earl Pomeroy has won reelection, sometimes with difficulty, but usually by comfortable margins. However with Democrats fighting in a much tougher political environment in 2010, Republicans plan on putting forward a serious challenge.[1] Republicans running against him include state Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer, state Representative Rick Berg, and former University of Mary football coach Paul Schaffner. Pomeroy will likely be more vulnerable than usual due to his support for the Democratic House Healthcare bill, which 64% of North Dakotans opposed, and President's Obama declining job approval ratings in the state (of which 39% approve and 58% disapprove, with 45% strongly disapproving).[2]

Candidates

Democrats

Republicans

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Earl Pomeroy (D) Rick Berg (R) Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies† October 24–25, 2010 42% 51% - -
Rasmussen Reports October 18–19, 2010 42% 52% 1% 5%
The Hill/ANGA October 16–19, 2010 45% 44% - 9%
Prairie Poll October, 2010 43.5% 33.6% - -
Rasmussen Reports September 20–21, 2010 45% 48% 1% 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang† September 10–12, 2010 46% 44% - -
Rasmussen Reports August 10–11, 2010 44% 53% 1% 3%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2010 46% 49% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports June 15–16, 2010 44% 51% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 2010 43% 52% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports April 20, 2010 45% 49% 2% 4%
Rasmussen Reports March 23–24, 2010 44% 51% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports February 9–10, 2010 40% 46% 3% 11%

†Internal poll (Garin-Hart-Yang for Pomeroy and Public Opinion Strategies for Berg)

Results

North Dakota's At-large congressional district election, 2010[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Berg 129,802 54.74%
Democratic Earl Pomeroy (inc.) 106,542 44.93%
Write-ins 793 0.33%
Totals 237,137 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

  1. ^ Cadei, Emily (2010-02-12). "Pomeroy Trails GOP Challenger in North Dakota - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  2. ^ "Election 2010: North Dakota House of Representatives - Rasmussen Reports". Rasmussenreports.com. 2010-08-16. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  3. ^ http://results.sos.nd.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY

External links

  • Elections and Voting at the North Dakota Secretary of State
  • U.S. Congress candidates for North Dakota at Project Vote Smart
  • 2010 North Dakota General Election: Rick Berg (R) vs Earl Pomeroy (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • House - North Dakota from the Cook Political Report
  • North Dakota - At-Large from OurCampaigns.com
  • Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
  • 2010 North Dakota - 1st District from CQ Politics
  • Race profile at The New York Times
Debates
  • North Dakota House Debate on C-SPAN, October 4, 2010 (26:42)
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