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United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2010

Elections were held on November 2, 2010 to determine Mississippi's four members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on June 1, 2010, and primary runoff elections on June 22.[1]

Of the four elections, the 1st district was rated as competitive by Sabato's Crystal Ball,[2] and the 1st and 4th districts were rated as competitive by The Cook Political Report,[3] CQ Politics[4] and The Rothenberg Political Report.[5] Two of four incumbents were re-elected (Democrat Bennie Thompson of the 2nd district and Republican Gregg Harper of the 3rd district), while two unsuccessfully sought re-election (Democrats Travis Childers of the 1st district and Gene Taylor of the 4th district).[6]

In total, three Republicans and one Democrat were elected.[7] A total of 788,549 votes were cast, of which 423,579 (54 percent) were for Republican candidates, 350,695 (44 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 6,560 (1 percent) were for an independent candidate, 4,292 (1 percent) were for Reform Party candidates, 2,188 (0.3 percent) were for Libertarian Party candidates and 1,235 (0.2 percent) were for a Constitution Party candidate.[8]

Contents

  • District 1 1
    • Republican primary results 1.1
    • General election results 1.2
    • External links 1.3
  • District 2 2
    • Republican primary results 2.1
    • Republican primary runoff results 2.2
    • General election results 2.3
    • External links 2.4
  • District 3 3
    • Democratic primary results 3.1
    • General election results 3.2
    • External links 3.3
  • District 4 4
    • Republican primary results 4.1
    • General election results 4.2
    • Further reading 4.3
    • External links 4.4
  • See also 5
  • References 6

District 1

Alan Nunnelee, who was elected to represent the 1st district
Travis Childers, who unsuccessfully sought re-election in the 1st district

In 2010 the 1st district included Horn Lake, Olive Branch, Southaven and Tupelo.[9] The district's population was 69 percent white and 27 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,944.[10] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[9] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14.[3]

Democrat Travis Childers, who was elected in a 2008 special election, was the incumbent. Childers was re-elected in the regularly-scheduled 2008 election with 55 percent of the vote.[9] In May 2009 Childers denied planning to switch parties and seek re-election as a Republican, describing himself as a "Southern Democrat".[11] In 2010 the Republican nominee was Alan Nunnelee, a member of the Mississippi State Senate.[12] A. G. Baddley, an electrician;[13] Les Green, a teacher;[14] Rick "Rico" Hoskins; and Wally Pang, a retired restaurateur,[15] ran as independent candidates. Gail Giaramita, a nurse, ran as the Constitution Party nominee.[16] Harold Taylor, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Mississippi, ran as the Libertarian Party nominee.[17] Barbara Dale Washer, a teacher, ran as the Reform Party nominee.[18]

Angela McGlowan, a Fox News political analyst;[19] and Henry Ross, a former mayor of Eupora,[20] also ran for the Republican nomination. Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven who ran unsuccessfully in both 2008 elections, said in March 2009 that he would not run again in 2010.[21] Merle Flowers, a member of the Mississippi Senate, met with the National Republican Congressional Committee in June 2009, but ultimately decided not to run.[22]

Childers raised $1,817,037 and spent $1,796,376. Nunnelee raised $1,739,384 and spent $1,617,120. Green raised $40,296 and spent the same amount. Pang raised no money and spent $6,900. Giaramita raised $12,730 and spent $12,913.[23]

In a poll of 303 likely voters, conducted in June 2010 by the Tarrance Group for Nunnelee's campaign, 50 percent of respondents supported Nunnelee while 42 percent favored Childers and 8 percent were undecideed.[24] In an Anzalone-Liszt poll of 400 likely voters, conducted in August and September 2010, Childers led with 46 percent to Nunnelee's 41 percent.[25] Republican internal polls of 300 likely voters by Tarrance, conducted in September and October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 48 percent to 41 percent and by 51 percent to 40 percent respectively.[26] A poll of 603 likely voters, conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 44 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided.[27]

Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Republican".[2] In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up"[3] and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup".[4] In November 2010The Rothenberg Political Report rated it as "Toss-up/Tilt Republican".[5] FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Nunnelee an 82 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Childers's 45 percent.[26]

On election day Nunnelee was elected with 55 percent of the vote to Childers's 41 percent.[28] Nunnelee was re-elected in 2012[29] and 2014.[30] Childers unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014.[31]

Republican primary results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alan Nunnelee 20,236 51.82%
Republican Henry Ross 12,894 33.02%
Republican Angela McGlowan 5,924 15.17%
Totals 39,144 100.00%

General election results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alan Nunnelee 121,074 55.26%
Democratic Travis Childers (incumbent) 89,388 40.80%
Independent Wally Pang 2,180 1.00%
Independent Les Green 2,020 0.92%
Independent A. G. Baddley 1,882 0.86%
Constitution Gail Giaramita 1,235 0.56%
Independent Rick "Rico" Hoskins 478 0.22%
Libertarian Harold M. Taylor 447 0.20%
Reform Barbara Dale Washer 389 0.18%
Totals 219,093 100.00%

External links

  • Travis Childers campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 28, 2010)
  • Gail Giaramita campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived September 3, 2010)
  • Les Green campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 28, 2010)
  • Angela McGlowan campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived February 9, 2010)
  • Alan Nunnelee campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 29, 2010)
  • Henry Ross campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived July 4, 2010)

District 2

Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 1st district

In 2010 the 2nd district included Clinton, Greenville and parts of Jackson.[33] The district's population was 66 percent black and 32 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 75 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $30,578.[34] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 66 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 33 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[33]

Democrat

  1. ^ "2010 elections calendar".  
  2. ^ a b "Mississippi (01) House 2010".  
  3. ^ a b c d e "2010 competitive House race chart".  
  4. ^ a b c "Race Ratings Chart: House".  
  5. ^ a b c "House Ratings".  
  6. ^ "Taylor, Childers defeated in Mississippi".  
  7. ^ "Mississippi".  
  8. ^  
  9. ^ a b c "Mississippi – 1st District".  
  10. ^ "Mississippi 1st District Profile".  
  11. ^ Brumfield, Patsy R. (May 19, 2009). "Childers: Year one".  
  12. ^ Westbrook, Courtney (June 2, 2010). "ELECTION UPDATES: Nunnelee wins GOP congressional primary in 1st District".  
  13. ^ Long, Robert Lee (October 28, 2010). "A.G. Baddley". Desoto Times Tribune. Retrieved December 30, 2013. 
  14. ^ Webb, Kayleigh (October 25, 2010). "Ole Miss alumnus enters Congressional race".  
  15. ^ Wagster Pettus, Emily (August 9, 2010). "In 1st District, newcomers nipping at big dogs Childers, Nunnelee".  
  16. ^ Long, Robert Lee (October 28, 2010). "Gail Giaramita". Desoto Times Tribune. Retrieved December 30, 2013. 
  17. ^ Long, Robert Lee (October 28, 2010). "Harold Taylor". Desoto Times Tribune. Retrieved December 30, 2013. 
  18. ^ Long, Robert Lee (October 28, 2010). "Barbara Dale Washer". Desoto Times Tribune. Retrieved December 30, 2013. 
  19. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (February 10, 2010). "Fox News analyst Angela McGlowan launches House bid".  
  20. ^ "Ross to kick off run for Congress".  
  21. ^ "Mississippi: Two GOP State Senators Eye 1st District Race".  
  22. ^ McArdle, John (June 18, 2009). "GOP Looks to Avoid Primary in Race Against Childers".  
  23. ^ "Mississippi District 01 Race".  
  24. ^ "Internal Poll: Nunnelee 8 Points Up".  
  25. ^ West, Phil (September 8, 2010). "Childers leads Nunnelee in poll of First District".  
  26. ^ a b "Mississippi 1st District".  
  27. ^ Goodin, Emily (October 19, 2010). "The Hill Midterm Poll: District by district".  
  28. ^ a b "Official Recapitulation".  
  29. ^ West, Phil (November 6, 2012). "Nunnelee wins U.S. House race in North Mississippi".  
  30. ^ a b c d "Miss. incumbents sweep re-election in House races".  
  31. ^ Lachman, Samantha (November 4, 2014). "Travis Childers Loses Senate Race To Thad Cochran".  
  32. ^ a b c "Statewide certification".  
  33. ^ a b c "Mississippi – 2nd District".  
  34. ^ "Mississippi 2nd District Profile".  
  35. ^ a b "Haley wins in S.C.; Marcy wins in Miss.".  
  36. ^ "Marcy, Cook in GOP Runoff".  
  37. ^ "Mississippi District 02 Race".  
  38. ^ "Poll Results for the 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi". JMC Enterprises. Retrieved December 31, 2013. 
  39. ^ "Poll Results for the 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi". JMC Enterprises. Retrieved December 31, 2013. 
  40. ^ "Mississippi 2nd District".  
  41. ^ a b "Official Recapitulation".  
  42. ^ "Thompson re-elected in Miss. 2nd US House district".  
  43. ^ "Travis Childers wins Mississippi's Democratic nomination for Senate".  
  44. ^ "State party certification".  
  45. ^ a b c "Mississippi – 3rd District".  
  46. ^ "Mississippi 3rd District Profile".  
  47. ^ Brown, Jennifer Jacob (June 3, 2010). "Gill moves on to general election".  
  48. ^ "Nunnelee named winner in 1st District, avoids runoff".  
  49. ^ "O'Hara Seeks Third District Seat".  
  50. ^ "Mississippi District 03 Race".  
  51. ^ "Mississippi 3rd District".  
  52. ^ "Official Recapitulation".  
  53. ^ "Pickens Mayor Joel Gill Dies in Car Crash".  
  54. ^ "Harper re-elected in Miss. 3rd US House district".  
  55. ^ "Statewide Democratic results".  
  56. ^ "Official Recapitulation".  
  57. ^ a b c "Mississippi – 4th District".  
  58. ^ "Mississippi 4th District Profile".  
  59. ^ Wilkinson, Kaija (June 2, 2010). "Full Report: Steven Palazzo wins Republican primary, will face Taylor in Nov. 2 election". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014. 
  60. ^ Ward, Cherie (January 22, 2010). "Joe Tegerdine to run for Congress". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014. 
  61. ^ Wilkinson, Kaija (May 26, 2010). "Republicans vie for chance to run against incumbent Taylor to represent fourth district". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014. 
  62. ^ "Mississippi District 04 Race".  
  63. ^ "Joe Tegerdine (R)".  
  64. ^  
  65. ^ Farrell, David A. (October 9, 2010). "Taylor polls show 8 point lead; Palazzo claims race is in a dead heat".  
  66. ^ Goeas, Ed; Thompson, Nicholas (October 20, 2010). "Findings from survey of MS 4 voters".  
  67. ^ "Mississippi 4th District".  
  68. ^ a b "Official Recapitulation".  
  69. ^ "Palazzo, Wicker among incumbents re-elected in MS".  
  70. ^ "Gene Taylor Defeated By Steven Palazzo In GOP Primary For Congress In Mississippi".  

References

See also

  • Tim Hampton campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 29, 2010)
  • Steve Palazzo campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 28, 2010)
  • Gene Taylor campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 30, 2010)
  • Joe Tegerdine campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived February 12, 2010)

External links

  • Lansford, Tom (2011). "Mississippi District 4 Race (Palazzo v. Taylor): A Conservative Democrat Loses to a More Conservative Republican". In Foreman, Sean D.; Dewhirst, Robert. The Roads to Congress 2010 (Lanham, Maryland:  

Further reading

Mississippi's 4th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo 105,613 51.93%
Democratic Gene Taylor (incumbent) 95,243 46.83%
Libertarian Tim Hampton 1,741 0.86%
Reform Anna Jewel Revies 787 0.39%
Totals 203,384 100.00%

General election results

Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo 15,556 57.15%
Republican Joe Tegerdine 11,663 42.85%
Totals 27,219 100.00%

Republican primary results

On election day Palazzo was elected with 52 percent of the vote to Taylor's 47 percent.[68] Palazzo was re-elected in 2012[69] and 2014.[30] In 2014 Taylor unsuccessfully challenged Palazzo in the Republican primary in the 4th district.[70]

In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up"[3] and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup".[4] In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Pure Toss-up".[5] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Palazzo a 59 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 50 percent of the vote to Taylor's 48 percent.[67]

In a poll by the Tarrance Group, conducted for Palazzo's campaign in September 2010, 45 percent of respondents supported Taylor while 41 percent favored Palazzo.[64] In October 2010 Taylor said his own internal polling showed him leading Palazzo by eight percentage points.[65] Another poll by Tarrance for Palazzo's campaign, conducted later in October 2010 with a sample size of 300 likely voters, Palazzo led with 43 percent to Taylor's 41 percent, while 3 percent supported other candidates and 12 percent were undecided.[66]

Taylor raised $855,983 and spent $968,943. Palazzo raised $1,079,453 and spent $1,026,476.[62] Tegerdine raised $74,586 and spent $74,500.[63]

Democrat Gene Taylor, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. Taylor was re-elected in 2008 with 75 percent of the vote.[57] In 2010 Taylor's opponent in the general election was Steven Palazzo, a member of the Mississippi House of Representatives.[59] Joe Tegerdine, a businessman, also sought the Republican nomination.[60] Tim Hampton, the Libertarian Party nominee, and Anna Jewel Revies, the nominee of the Reform Party, also ran.[61]

In 2010 the 4th district included Gulfport and Hattiesburg.[57] The district's population was 71 percent white and 23 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,245.[58] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 67 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 32 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[57] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20.[3]

Gene Taylor, who unsuccessfully sought re-election in the 4th district
Steven Palazzo, who was elected to represent the 4th district

District 4

  • Joel Gill campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 29, 2010)
  • Gregg Harper campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 29, 2010)

External links

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gregg Harper (incumbent) 132,393 67.99%
Democratic Joel Gill 60,737 31.19%
Reform Tracella Lou O’Hara Hill 1,586 0.81%
Totals 194,716 100.00%

General election results

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary, June 1, 2010[55]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joel Gill 3,805 52.33%
Democratic James D. Jackson 2,138 29.40%
Democratic Shawn O'Hara 1,328 18.26%
Totals 7,271 100.00%

Democratic primary results

Harper raised $715,014 and spent $688,959.[50] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Harper a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 70 percent of the vote to Gill's 28 percent.[51] On election day Harper was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Gill's 31 percent.[52] Gill unsuccessfully ran for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner in 2011, and died in a car accident in October 2012.[53] Harper was again re-elected in 2012[54] and 2014.[30]

Republican Gregg Harper, who was first elected in 2008, was the incumbent. In 2008 Harper received 63 percent of the vote.[45] In 2010 the Democratic nominee was Joel Gill, the mayor of Pickens.[47] James D. Jackson, a sociology professor; and Shawn O'Hara, a frequent candidate for office, also sought the Democratic nomination.[48] O'Hara's sister, Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill, also ran as the Reform Party nominee.[49]

In 2010 the 3rd district included Meridian, Pearl and parts of Jackson.[45] The district's population was 62 percent white and 34 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 23 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,777.[46] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 39 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[45]

Gregg Harper, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 3rd district

District 3

  • Richard Cook campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived March 27, 2010)
  • Bill Marcy campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 28, 2010)
  • Bennie Thompson campaign website at the Wayback Machine (archived October 28, 2010)

External links

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[41]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 105,327 61.47%
Republican Bill Marcy 64,499 37.64%
Reform Ashley Norwood 1,530 0.89%
Totals 171,356 100.00%

General election results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary runoff, June 22, 2010[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Marcy 3,126 58.36%
Republican Richard Cook 2,230 41.64%
Totals 5,356 100.00%

Republican primary runoff results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Cook 2,232 34.77%
Republican Bill Marcy 2,231 34.75%
Republican George Bailey 1,957 30.48%
Totals 6,420 100.00%

Republican primary results

On election day Thompson was re-elected with 61 percent of the vote to Marcy's 38 percent.[41] Thompson was re-elected in 2012[42] and 2014.[30] Marcy ran again in the 2nd district in 2012 and sought the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate in 2014.[43]

Thompson raised $1,808,681 and spent $1,343,456. Marcy raised $47,933 and spent $40,847.[37] In a poll of 442 registered voters and likely voters, conducted by JMC Enterprises in September 2010, 35 percent of respondents intended to vote for Thompson while 34 percent intended to vote for Marcy and 31 percent were undecided.[38] A JMC poll of 441 registered voters and likely voters conducted in October 2010 found Thompson leading with 42 percent to Marcy's 41 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[39] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Thompson a 99 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 57 percent of the vote to Marcy's 40 percent.[40]

[35] nominee.Reform Party Ashley Norwood ran as the [36]

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