World Library  
Flag as Inappropriate
Email this Article

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2014

 

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2014

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2014

November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)

 
Nominee Thad Cochran Travis Childers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 370,208 228,974
Percentage 60.4% 37.4%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Thad Cochran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Thad Cochran
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Senator Thad Cochran, who has served in the position since 1978, is running for re-election to a seventh term.[1]

Background

Thad Cochran was first elected to the Senate with a plurality of the vote in a three-way race in 1978. He has been re-elected with at least 61% of the vote ever since, in 1984, 1990, 1996, 2002 and 2008.

Until December 2013, Cochran was the last incumbent Senator up for re-election in 2014 who had not declared his plans. He refused to say whether he would run for re-election, and this caused widespread speculation that he would retire.[2][3] Despite being urged to declare his intentions, Cochran said in August 2013, "I don’t have a fixed date. But [I will decide] by the end of the year. You don’t want to rush into these things."[2] On November 12, he announced that he would reveal his plans by the end of the month.[4] On December 6, it was confirmed that he would be running for re-election.[1]

Cochran's fundraising ability, powerful Senate committee assignments and very high approval ratings mean that he was dubbed "unbeatable".[2] Mississippi Democratic Party Chairman Rickey Cole said that "in the very likely event that he does [run], we don't foresee a major Democratic challenger emerging."[5] Had he chosen to retire, a "stampede" was predicted in the Republican primary[6] and Democrats believed that a "properly-positioned" candidate could have been competitive in the general election.[2]

Republican primary

State Senator Chris McDaniel, a Tea Party supporter, declared his candidacy for the seat on October 17, 2013.[7] He was immediately endorsed by the Club for Growth and Ken Cuccinelli's Senate Conservatives Fund. McDaniel was initially reported to have no chance of beating Cochran in the primary,[2] as summed up by the Jackson Free Press, which remarked that if McDaniel faced Cochran, it would be the "beginning of [the] end of [his] political career".[8] Republican lobbyist Henry Barbour, the nephew of former Governor Haley Barbour, said: "I think he will get his head handed to him, and that will be what he deserves. [But] it's a free country."[9] McDaniel was believed to have declared his candidacy in the hope that Cochran would choose not to run, giving him "first crack" at the support of Tea Party groups and donors before a competitive primary.[8] On December 6, media sources confirmed that Cochran would run for re-election. McDaniel was Cochran's first primary opponent since 1996, when Cochran won with 95% of the vote.[1]

Although the race was initially considered uncompetitive, McDaniel was a serious challenger. Polling showed the lead swinging between the two of them and it was considered to be a "50%-50% race".[10] The race was considered to be a marquee establishment-versus-Tea Party fight, It was considered significant because Mississippi is the poorest state, and Cochran's seniority and appropriation skills contrasts with the junior status of the rest of the state's congressional delegation.[11] McDaniel was endorsed by politicians including Citizens United, Club for Growth, FreedomWorks, Madison Project, National Association for Gun Rights, Senate Conservatives Fund and Tea Party Express.

By contrast, the Republican establishment rallied around Cochran, who was also endorsed by the National Rifle Association and National Right to Life. The race had been compared to the 2012 Indiana Republican primary, when Tea Party candidate Richard Mourdock defeated six-term incumbent Richard Lugar, before losing to Democratic nominee Joe Donnelly because of his right-wing positions. Likely Democratic nominee Travis Childers was considered to have a chance to "take advantage of any opening" if McDaniel won.[10] The race was described as a "nasty" one,[12] full of "bizarre" twists.[13]

McDaniel's campaign attacked Cochran for being "an out-of-touch, big-spending Washington insider" and Cochran's replied that "McDaniel’s voting record in the state Senate does not match his conservative rhetoric." Both sides have accused the other of distortions and outright lies.[14] Cochran ran on his incumbency, seniority and the fact that he would become the Chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee if the Republicans took back control of the Senate.[15][16] In addition to ideological differences, the race highlighted geographic divides in the state Republican Party.[17][18]

No candidate received than 50% of the vote, so a runoff between McDaniel and Cochran was held on June 24, 2014.[19] Cochran narrowly defeated McDaniel by 7,000 votes.[20]

McDaniel refused to concede the race and challenged the results.[21] His campaign filed a notice of intent to contest the election, and groups working on behalf of McDaniel filed two lawsuits to contest the election.[22] On Thursday, June 24, McDaniel announced he was offering a $1,000 reward for proof of voter fraud in the run-off election.[23]

Scandals

A scandal arose when a supporter of McDaniel allegedly entered a nursing home where Cochran's bedridden wife was living and took pictures of her.[12] He posted them as part of a video to his blog, intending to advance the rumour that Cochran was having affairs while his wife was receiving care.[14][24] Four people have been arrested in connection with the incident.[14] A third candidate, Thomas Carey, introduced a risk that neither Cochran nor McDaniel would win a majority.[12]

A second scandal emerged during the primary where the Race card was played to help Cochran win, using such "code words" as "food stamps".[25][26] As evidence has continued to mount, charges first surfaced [27] that a small group of elderly Democratic female activists, calling themselves "Citizens for Progress," were behind racist ads promoting Cochran.[27] The Clarion Ledger newspaper reported that money trails show the money was transferred from Mississippi Conservatives PAC to Citizens for Progress multiple times.[28] Henry Barbour had claimed that Citizens for Progress were behind the controversy.[27] Cochran's campaign was reported to have sent robocalls to African-American households before the primary.

Ed Martin, chairman of the Missouri Republican Party, wrote an op-ed calling for the censure of Barbour for his role in funding the race-based ads,[29] as well as the censure of "any Republicans who were involved in" them.[30] His efforts to gain censure of Barbour at the annual meeting of the Republican Party were unsuccessful, although members discussed the issues.

Senator Ted Cruz appeared on the Mark Levin Show to discuss the Mississippi Primary. He called for an investigation,[31] saying that "the ads they ran were racially-charged false attacks".[32]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Thad
Cochran
Chris
McDaniel
Thomas
Carey
Undecided
Chism Strategies May 29, 2014 813 ± 3.4% 44.3% 46.4% 9.3%
RedRacingHorses & PMI inc. May 28–29, 2014 374 ± 5% 42% 41% 6% 12%
Harper Polling May 27–28, 2014 599 ± 4% 45% 40% 15%
The Polling Company May 14–15, 2014 505 ± 4.4% 39% 43% 3% 15%
GEB International May 14, 2014 600 ± 4% 36% 43% 21%
Harper Polling April 3–5, 2014 570 ± 4.1% 52% 35% 12%
GEB International April 2, 2014 600 ± 4% 51% 28% 21%
NSON Opinion Strategy March 24–28, 2014 400 ± 4% 44.6% 36.5% 18.8%
Harper Polling December 17–18, 2013 710 ± 3.68% 54.37% 31.41% 14.23%
Human Events/Gravis Marketing December 13, 2013 691 ± 4% 40% 40% 20%
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 422 ± 4.8% 44% 38% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Thad
Cochran
Someone more
conservative
Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 422 ± 4.8% 35% 55% 10%

Results

Republican primary results[62]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris McDaniel 157,733 49.5%
Republican Thad Cochran 156,315 49%
Republican Thomas Carey 4,854 1.5%
Totals 318,902 100%

Runoff

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Thad
Cochran
Chris
McDaniel
Undecided
Chism Strategies June 20, 2014 697 ± 3.8% 44% 52% 4%
Chism Strategies June 17–18, 2014 1,192 ± 2.85% 44% 50% 6%
NSON Opinion Strategy June 13–17, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 44.5% 44% 11.5%
Chism Strategies June 13, 2014 821 ± 3.3% 48% 47% 5%
The Polling Company June 12–13, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 40% 52% 7%
Strategic National June 5, 2014 ? ± ? 46% 52% 2%
Chism Strategies June 5, 2014 832 ± 3.3% 47.6% 50.6% 1.8%

Results

Republican primary runoff results[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Thad Cochran 194,932 51% +2%
Republican Chris McDaniel 187,265 49% -0.5%
Total votes 382,197 100%

Democratic primary

Former Congressman Travis Childers stated that he was interested in running, particularly if Thad Cochran retires.[64] With Cochran facing a competitive primary, Childers announced he was running.[65]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[71]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Travis Childers 63,548 74%
Democratic Bill Marcy 10,361 12.1%
Democratic William Compton 8,465 9.9%
Democratic Jonathan Rawl 3,492 4.1%
Totals 85,866 100%

General election

Campaign

Democratic nominee Travis Childers has concentrated on the general election by describing himself as a "disenchanted" Democrat, highlighting his vote against the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and his opposition to new gun control measures and same-sex marriage.[72]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Thad
Cochran (R)
Travis
Childers (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 654 ± 7% 50% 28% 2% 20%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 826 ± 4% 46% 35% 3% 16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 976 ± 4% 46% 31% 9% 15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 850 ± 5.7% 47% 32% 17% 5%
Public Policy Polling July 10–13, 2014 691 ± 3.7% 40% 24% 5%[73] 31%
41% 26% 33%
Rasmussen Reports June 25–26, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 34% 10% 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 26–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 31% 9% 12%
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 502 ± 4.4% 50% 33% 17%

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c d "Cochran to Seek Re-Election in Mississippi". Roll Call. December 6, 2013. Retrieved December 6, 2013. 
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Mississippi Senate race 2014: Guessing game over Thad Cochran run". Politico. August 8, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013. 
  3. ^ Raju, Manu (May 20, 2013). "Thad Cochran: Too early on 2014". politico.com. 
  4. ^ Cahn, Emily (November 12, 2013). "Cochran To Reveal Future Plans By End of the Month". Roll Call. 
  5. ^ "AP analysis: No smooth road for U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran if he runs". blog.gulflive.com. October 27, 2013. 
  6. ^ a b c d e f "Speculation continues over Cochran’s seat in the U.S. Senate: If a Senate seat opens, expect a stampede". Mississippi PEP. July 23, 2012. Retrieved July 22, 2013. 
  7. ^ a b Abby Livingston (October 17, 2013). "Tea Party Candidate Challenges Thad Cochran". Roll Call. Retrieved October 17, 2013. 
  8. ^ a b R.L. Nave (October 15, 2012). "Sen. Chris McDaniel to Announce Beginning of End of Political Career". Jackson Free Press. Retrieved October 17, 2013. 
  9. ^ Abby Livingston (September 25, 2012). "Mississippi Republicans Wait for Cochran's Decision". Roll Call. Retrieved November 12, 2013. 
  10. ^ a b "Could a Tea Party Win in Mississippi Change the 2014 Math?". NBC News. June 3, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  11. ^ Abby Livingston (December 26, 2012). "Most Fascinating Races of 2014: Mississippi Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved December 31, 2013. 
  12. ^ a b c Alexandra Jaffe (June 3, 2014). "Biggest Super Tuesday casualty?". The Hill. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  13. ^ Deborah Barfield Berry (June 2, 2014). "Miss. voters ready for end to Senate primary". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  14. ^ a b c Bobby Harrison (June 1, 2014). "Bruising Senate battle nears finish". DJournal. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  15. ^ Kyle Trygstad (June 3, 2014). "Thad Cochran Runs on Incumbency, Appropriations in GOP Primary". DJournal. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  16. ^ Janet Hook (June 3, 2014). "Will Mississippi End Its Love Affair With Seniority?". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  17. ^ Stuart Rothenberg (June 3, 2014). "Thad Cochran’s Mississippi". Roll Call. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  18. ^ Nate Cohn (June 2, 2014). "Mississippi Primary Fight Is One of Geography as Well as Ideology". The New York Times. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  19. ^ Martin, Jonathan (June 4, 2014). "Mississippi’s G.O.P. Senate Primary Headed to a Runoff". New York Times. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  20. ^ Costa, Robert. "Cochran beats McDaniel in nail-biter in Mississippi". The Washington Post. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  21. ^ Myers, David (2014-07-07). "Chris McDaniel condemns race comments - Jonathan Topaz". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  22. ^ "GOP hopes to contain Mississippi Tea Party outrage", New York Times, 5 July 2014, accessed 15 September 2014
  23. ^ Perry, Mark (2014-07-03). "Chris McDaniel offers $1K for fraud proof - Nicholas P. Fandos". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  24. ^ Brett Logiurato (May 20, 2014). "This Is The Single Nastiest Campaign Fight In America". Business Insider. Retrieved June 3, 2014. 
  25. ^ Fund, John (2014-07-25). "The Flier That Got Thad Cochran Elected?". National Review. Retrieved 2014-08-18. 
  26. ^ "The Tea Party Intends to prevent you from VOTING". 
  27. ^ a b c Drucker, David (2014-08-04). "Democratic activists were behind controversial Klan ads in Mississippi". Washington Examiner.Com. Retrieved 2014-08-07. 
  28. ^ Hall, Sam (2014-08-05). "Harris denies anyone tied to Cochran involved in KKK ads". ClarionLedger.Com. Retrieved 2014-08-07. 
  29. ^ Johnson, Eliana (2014-07-18). "The Barbour Machine’s Mississippi Ad War". National Review. Retrieved 2014-08-22. 
  30. ^ "Why I’m Moving To Censure Henry Barbour In The RNC Over Race-Baiting Ads". Daily Caller. 8 August 2014. Retrieved 22 August 2014. 
  31. ^ "Ted Cruz: We Need An Investigation Into the Mississippi Race". The Mark Levin Show. 7 July 2014. Retrieved 29 August 2014. 
  32. ^ Sullivan, Sean (2014-07-25). "Ted Cruz slams ‘D.C. machine’ over Mississippi runoff, wants voter-fraud investigation". Washington Post. Retrieved 2014-08-27. 
  33. ^ a b c "Political buzz: Alan Nunnelee lone Mississippi congressman without a party primary". The Mississippi Press. March 1, 2014. Retrieved March 1, 2014. 
  34. ^ a b Jaffe, Alexandra (May 20, 2013). "Sen. Cochran undecided on running in 2014".  
  35. ^ a b c Schultheis, Emily (December 6, 2013). "Wait for Thad Cochran call continues". Politico. Retrieved December 6, 2013. 
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Mississippi leaders react to Thad Cochran's decision to seek seventh term in U.S. Senate". GulfLive.com. December 6, 2013. Retrieved December 6, 2013. 
  37. ^ a b "BREAKING: Cochran says he will ‘run hard and be successful’".  
  38. ^ "Pickering mulls US Senate run in '14". NBC News. November 26, 2013. Retrieved December 6, 2013. 
  39. ^ a b Perry, Brian (July 31, 2013). "PERRY/Who runs if Cochran doesn't?". Neshoba Democrat. Retrieved October 18, 2013. 
  40. ^ a b c Kemp, Ed (October 17, 2013). "McDaniel tosses hat into US Senate race".  
  41. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u "Official Endorsements". thadformississippi.com. 2014. 
  42. ^ "John McCain to campaign for endangered Sen. Cochran | OnPolitics". Onpolitics.usatoday.com. 2014-06-19. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  43. ^ "Brett Favre returns ... this time to endorse Mississippi Sen. Thad Cochran in primary election against Tea Party opponent". NY Daily News. 2014-06-19. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  44. ^ NRA endorses Sen. Thad Cochran over Tea Party foe | OnPolitics
  45. ^ GOP: establishment backs Thad Cochran - POLITICO.com
  46. ^ National Right to Life Endorses Sen. Thad Cochran for Re-Election | National Right to Life
  47. ^ Sarah Palin Endorses Chris McDaniel for Senate in Mississippi
  48. ^ "Ron Paul backs tea party challenger Chris McDaniel in Mississippi race Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/06/ron-paul-endorse-chris-mcdaniel-mississippi-107592.html#ixzz34eGoTH00". Politico.com. October 11, 2013. Retrieved November 6, 2013. 
  49. ^ a b c d e f g h "Eight Mississippi Senators Endorse McDaniel for U.S. Senate". Chris McDaniel for U.S. Senate. October 28, 2013. Retrieved February 11, 2014. 
  50. ^ a b c d e f "About Chris". Chris McDaniel for U.S. Senate. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  51. ^ "The Mark Levin Show". 
  52. ^ "Twitter / realDonaldTrump: I hope voters in Mississippi". Twitter.com. 2014-06-24. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  53. ^ Boyle, Matthew (2014-05-28). "‘McDanielmentum’: Haley Barbour’s Brother Endorses McDaniel, MS GOP Softens Tone". Breitbart.com. Retrieved 2014-07-25. 
  54. ^ "Chris McDaniel Endorsed By Citizens United Political Victory Fund". Yall Politics. January 28, 2014. Retrieved February 11, 2014. 
  55. ^ a b c Hohmann, James (October 17, 2013). "Conservative groups back Thad Cochran opponent".  
  56. ^ Strauss, Faniel (October 28, 2013). "FreedomWorks Endorses Miss. GOP Primary Challenger Who Attended Neo-Confederate Conference". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved October 29, 2013. 
  57. ^ "National Assn for Gun Rights PAC endorses Chris McDaniel". Yall Politics. February 19, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  58. ^ "Tea Party Express Endorses Chris McDaniel For U.S. Senate". Chris McDaniel for Senate. Retrieved November 6, 2013. 
  59. ^ "@senatormcdaniel was endorsed by 9-12 Jones County tonight". Twitter. November 4, 2013. Retrieved February 11, 2014. 
  60. ^ Criswell, Dana (January 4, 2014). "Now is the time for Mississippi Gun Owners to make a change in Washington".  
  61. ^ Hawkins, John (February 18, 2014). "Right Wing News Endorses Chris McDaniel for Senate in Mississippi". Right Wing News. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  62. ^ "2014 Republican Primary Results".  
  63. ^ "2014 Republican Primary Runoff Results".  
  64. ^ a b Blake, Aaron (15 November 2013). "Ex-Rep. Travis Childers (D) considering run for Mississippi Senate seat". Washington Post. Retrieved 19 November 2013. 
  65. ^ a b Schultheis, Emily (February 28, 2014). "Travis Childers to run for Senate in Mississippi". POLITICO. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  66. ^ a b c Harrison, Bobby (February 22, 2014). "No decision yet by Childers on Senate race".  
  67. ^ Wagster Pettus, Emily (January 10, 2014). "Ex-Republican running as Dem for US Senate in Mississippi".  
  68. ^ Ken Strachan (September 5, 2012). "Cochran Retirement Could Be Interesting". Jackson Free Press. Retrieved July 1, 2013. 
  69. ^ "AP analysis: No smooth road for U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran if he runs". Mississippi Press. October 27, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2014. 
  70. ^ Sam R. Hall (October 17, 2013). "State Sen. Chris McDaniel to challenge U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran".  
  71. ^ "2014 Democrat Primary Results".  
  72. ^ Alexander Burns (May 30, 2014). "CAn a Democrat win in Mississippi?".  
  73. ^ a b Shawn O'Hara (Reform)

External links

This article was sourced from Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License; additional terms may apply. World Heritage Encyclopedia content is assembled from numerous content providers, Open Access Publishing, and in compliance with The Fair Access to Science and Technology Research Act (FASTR), Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., Public Library of Science, The Encyclopedia of Life, Open Book Publishers (OBP), PubMed, U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Center for Biotechnology Information, U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health (NIH), U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, and USA.gov, which sources content from all federal, state, local, tribal, and territorial government publication portals (.gov, .mil, .edu). Funding for USA.gov and content contributors is made possible from the U.S. Congress, E-Government Act of 2002.
 
Crowd sourced content that is contributed to World Heritage Encyclopedia is peer reviewed and edited by our editorial staff to ensure quality scholarly research articles.
 
By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. World Heritage Encyclopedia™ is a registered trademark of the World Public Library Association, a non-profit organization.
 


Copyright © World Library Foundation. All rights reserved. eBooks from Project Gutenberg are sponsored by the World Library Foundation,
a 501c(4) Member's Support Non-Profit Organization, and is NOT affiliated with any governmental agency or department.