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United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014

 

United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014

United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014

November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Jeanne Shaheen Scott Brown
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 251,184 235,347
Percentage 51.46% 48.21%

Results by town

U.S. Senator before election

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeanne Shaheen
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the Governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014.[2] Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.[3]

Brown was seeking to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.[4]

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, thus Brown became the first man to lose two Senate races to women, having previously lost to Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts in 2012.[5]

Contents

  • Democratic primary 1
    • Candidates 1.1
      • Declared 1.1.1
    • Endorsements 1.2
    • Results 1.3
  • Republican primary 2
    • Candidates 2.1
      • Declared 2.1.1
      • Withdrew 2.1.2
      • Declined 2.1.3
    • Endorsements 2.2
    • Polling 2.3
    • Results 2.4
  • General election 3
    • Fundraising 3.1
    • Independent expenditures 3.2
    • Polling 3.3
    • Results 3.4
  • See also 4
  • References 5
  • External links 6

Democratic primary

Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen 74,504 100%

Republican primary

The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Karen Testerman, conservative activist and candidate for Governor in 2010 (endorsed Smith)[14][15]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charles
Bass
Scott
Brown
Andy
Martin
Jim
Rubens
Bob
Smith
Karen
Testerman
Other Undecided
NBC/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% 61% 10% 16% 1% 12%
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 419 ± 4.8% 40.33% 0.24% 3.58% 12.17% 2.88%[33] 40.81%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 ? ± 5.2% 38% 9% 13% 8% 32%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 426 ± 4.8% 33.33% 0.7% 3.05% 11.97% 3.29% 47.65%
Gravis Marketing January 29–30, 2014 498 ± 4.3% 51% 22% 27%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 528 ± 4.3% 42% 11% 8% 11% 7% 22%
4% 12% 26% 10% 47%
New England College October 7–9, 2013 424 ± 4.56% 21% 47% 5% 4% 23%

Results

Republican primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Brown 58,775 49.86%
Republican Jim Rubens 27,089 22.98%
Republican Bob Smith 26,593 22.56%
Republican Walter W. Kelly 1,376 1.17%
Republican Bob Heghmann 784 0.67%
Republican Andy Martin 734 0.62%
Republican Mark W. Farnham 733 0.62%
Republican Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic 508 0.43%
Republican Gerard Beloin 492 0.42%
Republican Robert D'Arcy 397 0.34%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) 220 0.19%
Scatter 183 0.16%
Totals 117,884 100%

General election

Fundraising

Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Jeanne Shaheen (D) $12,503,497 $11,568,326 $1,971,242
Scott Brown (R) $6,752,981 $6,331,278 $1,027,069

Independent expenditures

Super PAC Supporting Amount Media Goal
Senate Majority PAC Jeanne Shaheen $682,558[35] TV Oppose Scott Brown
League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund Jeanne Shaheen $364,320[35] TV Oppose Scott Brown
Ending Spending Inc. Scott Brown $61,448[36] Media Oppose Jeanne Shaheen
Ending Spending Action Fund Scott Brown $60,136[36] Media Support Scott Brown
New Hampshire PAC to Save America Jim Rubens $57,866[35] Direct Mail Support Jim Rubens
NextGen Climate Action Committee Jeanne Shaheen $37,421[36] Digital Advertising Oppose Scott Brown
Ocean Champions Jeanne Shaheen $25,000[36] Media Oppose Scott Brown
Tea Party Victory Fund Bob Smith $15,000[35] Voter Contact Calls Support Bob Smith

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeanne
Shaheen (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,690 ± 2.4% 50% 48% 3%
WMUR/UNH October 29–November 2, 2014 757 ± 3.6% 47% 45% 3% 6%
New England College October 31–November 1, 2014 1,526 ± 2.51% 48.2% 48.7% 1.4% 1.7%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 679 ± ? 49% 47% 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 29–30, 2014 940 ± 3% 52% 45% 1% 2%
American Research Group October 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 49% 2%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–28, 2014 638 ± 3.9% 49% 45% 6%
WMUR/UNH October 22–26, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 50% 42% 8%
New England College October 24, 2014 1,132 ± 2.91% 46.8% 48.3% 2.5% 2.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,042 ± 4% 46% 41% 1% 12%
American Research Group October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 48% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 764 ± ? 49% 45% 5%
CNN/ORC October 18–21, 2014 645 LV ± 4% 49% 47% 3%
877 RV ± 3.5% 50% 44% 5%
UMass Lowell October 15–21, 2014 643 LV ± 4.5% 49% 46% 1% 4%
900 RV ± 3.8% 48% 41% 2% 10%
Suffolk/Boston Herald October 16–19, 2014 500 ± ? 48.6% 45.6% 5.8%
New England College October 16, 2014 921 ± 3.23% 47.3% 47.7% 2.7% 2.3%
UMass Amherst October 10–15, 2014 322 LV ± 6.6% 48% 45% 5% 2%
400 RV ± 6% 49% 41% 5% 5%
New England College October 9, 2014 1,081 ± 2.98% 46.9% 48% 2.8% 2.3%
Kiley & Company October 7–9, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 44% 6%
High Point University October 4–8, 2014 824 ± 3.4% 48% 46% 6%
WMUR/UNH September 29–October 5, 2014 532 ± 4.2% 47% 41% 1% 10%
New England College October 3, 2014 1,286 ± 2.73% 48.5% 45.9% 3.2% 2.3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,260 ± 3% 48% 41% 1% 10%
New England College September 26, 2014 1,331 ± 2.69% 47.1% 46.6% 3.3% 2.9%
American Research Group September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 43% 4%
New England College September 19–20, 2014 1,494 ± 2.54% 50.1% 42.8% 4% 3.2%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 652 ± 3.8% 50% 44% 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 15–16, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 43% 47% 11%
American Research Group September 12–15, 2014 544 ± 4.2% 50% 45% 5%
New England College September 10–11, 2014 630 ± 3.98% 51% 40.2% 4.5% 4.2%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 42% 5% 5%
Magellan Strategies September 10–11, 2014 2,214 ± 2% 44.3% 45.9% 9.8%
CNN/ORC September 8–11, 2014 735 LV ± 3.5% 48% 48% 4%
883 RV ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%
Kiley & Company September 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 51% 43% 6%
Global Strategy Group September 10, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 41% 11%
Kiley & Company September 2–4, 2014 602 ± 4% 50% 42% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,159 ± 4% 47% 41% 4% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies August 27–September 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 44% 41% 9%[37] 6%
Public Policy Polling August 27–28, 2014 766 ± ? 50% 44% 6%
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 46% 44% 1% 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,251 ± 2.9% 50% 40% 4% 6%
Magellan Strategies July 7–13, 2014 1,618 ± 2.43% 46% 41.1% 12.9%
NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% 50% 42% 1% 6%
WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 7%
Suffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49.38% 39.38% 2.5%[37] 8.75%
American Research Group June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% 50% 38% 12%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 47% 35% 18%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 49% 43% 8%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 39% 36% 25%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 45% 39% 2% 14%
Public Policy Polling April 7–8, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% 49% 41% 10%
American Research Group March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% 50% 38% 12%
Rasmussen Reports March 12–13, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 41% 4% 5%
Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27–March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 39.13% 8.87%
Public Policy Polling February 19–20, 2014 686 ± 3.7% 47% 39% 14%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 454 ± 4.1% 47% 37% 3% 14%
Harper Polling January 22–23, 2014 513 ± 4.33% 40% 35% 25%
Purple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 1,052 ± 3% 44% 44% 12%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 46% 43% 10%
American Research Group December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 48% 44% 7%
New England College May 2–5, 2013 807 ± 3.27% 54% 35% 11%
Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% 44.2% 29.5% 26.3%
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 52% 41% 7%

Results

U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire, 2014[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (Incumbent) 251,184 51.46%
Republican Scott Brown 235,347 48.21%
None Scatter 1,628 0.33%
Totals 488,159 100%
Democratic hold

See also

References

  1. ^ "Jeanne Shaheen in for 2014 Senate race".  
  2. ^ "FOR ALL CANDIDATES FILING DECLARATIONS OF CANDIDACY". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 25, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Scott Brown wins New Hampshire Senate primary". Politico.com. September 9, 2014. Retrieved September 10, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Sorry, Scott: Choosing A New State After You Get The Boot Never Works". Talking Points Memo. March 14, 2014. Retrieved September 21, 2014. 
  5. ^ Zavadski, Katie (November 5, 2014). "11 Big Firsts From the 2014 Midterm Elections". Retrieved November 7, 2014. 
  6. ^ Blake, Aaron (November 9, 2012). "Senate Democrats face a very tough 2014 map".  
  7. ^ "King on Collins: ‘We’ve got a model senator here’".  
  8. ^ "2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014. 
  9. ^ a b c d e f "OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE - ELECTION DIVISION REPUBLICAN CUMULATIVE FILING AS OF 07/23/2014". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 23, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014. 
  10. ^ "Report: Scott Brown is officially running for US Senate in New Hampshire". Boston.com. April 2, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2014. 
  11. ^ Miller, Rich (August 21, 2013). "Perennial candidate decamps to New Hampshire". Capitol Fax. Retrieved September 3, 2013. 
  12. ^ DiStaso, John (September 18, 2013). "Former NH state Sen. Jim Rubens announces candidacy for US Senate against Dem. Shaheen". The Republic. Retrieved September 19, 2013. 
  13. ^ Di Lothrop (December 1, 2013). "Looks like Bob Smith will in fact be running for US Senate.". Press Release. Retrieved December 1, 2013. 
  14. ^ Leubsdorf, Ben (October 14, 2013). "N.H. Republican activist Karen Testerman to run for U.S. Senate in 2014".  
  15. ^ a b "Testerman drops out of US Senate race, backs Smith".  
  16. ^ a b c Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year".  
  17. ^ Houghton, Kimberly (February 5, 2014). "Londonderry's Baldasaro won't seek Senate seat".  
  18. ^ Schultheis, Emily (November 4, 2013). "Charlie Bass won't challenge Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire". POLITICO. Retrieved November 4, 2013. 
  19. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (February 10, 2013). "New Hampshire Republicans looking to rebuild in time for 2014 elections". The Hill. Retrieved March 29, 2013. 
  20. ^ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year".  
  21. ^ Robert Schmidt (December 12, 2013). "Former Senator Gregg Said to Step Down From Wall Street Lobby". Bloomberg. Retrieved December 12, 2013. 
  22. ^ DiStaso, John (December 12, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Gregg for the US Senate again? 'Been there, done that,' he says".  
  23. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids".  
  24. ^ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone".  
  25. ^ Leubsdorf, Ben (October 9, 2013). "Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.’s 1st District".  
  26. ^ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C.". nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013. 
  27. ^ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor".  
  28. ^ Larson, Leslie (August 19, 2013). "Conservatives rally Rush Limbaugh radio show fill-in Mark Steyn to run for Senate…despite the fact he's not a U.S. citizen".  
  29. ^ a b DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014".  
  30. ^ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council".  
  31. ^ "Sen. Stiles endorses Scott Brown".  
  32. ^ "First on CNN: Romney to endorse Scott Brown".  
  33. ^ Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D’Arcy 0.24%
  34. ^ "2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 28, 2014. 
  35. ^ a b c d "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014. 
  36. ^ a b c d "Realtime Federal Campaign Finance". Sunlight Foundation. July 11, 2014. Retrieved July 11, 2014. 
  37. ^ a b c d Gardner Goldsmith (L)
  38. ^ "United States Senator - 2014 General Election". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2014. 

External links

  • U.S. Senate elections in New Hampshire, 2014 at Ballotpedia
  • Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen graph of multiple polls from HuffPost Pollster
  • Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
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