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United States Senate election in Texas, 2008

 

United States Senate election in Texas, 2008

United States Senate election in Texas, 2008

November 4, 2008

 
Nominee John Cornyn Rick Noriega
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,337,469 3,389,365
Percentage 54.8% 42.8%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

The 2008 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John Cornyn won re-election to a second term.

Contents

  • Democratic primary 1
    • Candidates 1.1
    • Results 1.2
  • Republican primary 2
    • Candidates 2.1
    • Results 2.2
  • General election 3
    • Candidates 3.1
    • Campaign 3.2
    • Predictions 3.3
    • Polling 3.4
    • Results 3.5
  • References 4
  • External links 5

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

2008 US Senate, Democratic Primary[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Rick Noriega 1,108,318 51.01% +0.00%
Democratic Gene Kelly 583,845 26.87% +0.00%
Democratic Ray McMurrey 268,742 12.37% +0.00%
Democratic Rhett Smith 211,811 9.75% +0.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

2008 US Senate, Republican Primary[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn 994,222 81.49% +4.17%
Republican Larry Kilgore 225,897 18.51% +0.00%

General election

Candidates

  • John Cornyn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Rick Noriega (D), State Representative
  • Yvonne Adams Schick (L), real estate entrepreneur[3]

Campaign

Cornyn, running as an incumbent, had a 42% approval rating with a 43% disapproval rating in June 2007.[4] Texas is a red state, that Republican presidential nominee John McCain won with over 55% of the vote. Cornyn slightly underperformed McCain. However, Noriega underperformed both 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in Texas and Cornyn's 2002 opponent, Ron Kirk, with Noriega receiving just 42.8% of the vote.

Predictions

CQ Politics rated this race as 'Republican Favored'.[5] The Cook Political Report considered it 'Solid Republican'.[6] The Rothenberg Political Report considered it a 'Safe Republican'.[7]

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Rick Noriega (D) John Cornyn (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 40% 55%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008 43% 50%
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2008 39% 50%
Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008 35% 48%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2008 35% 52%
Baselice & Associates May 20–25, 2008 33% 49%
Research 2000/Daily Kos May 5–7, 2008 44% 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 1, 2008 43% 47%
Research 2000 September 24–26, 2007 35% 51%
Rasmussen September 18, 2007 30% 53%

Results

2008 Texas U.S. Senate general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn 4,337,469 54.82 -0.48
Democratic Rick Noriega 3,389,365 42.83 -0.50
Libertarian Yvonne Adams Schick 185,241 2.34 +1.55
Majority 948,104
Turnout 7,912,075 58.28
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. ^ http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=294945
  2. ^ http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=294946
  3. ^ http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=DM&p_theme=dm&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=123C9994B0E36568&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM
  4. ^ Survey USA
  5. ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics
  6. ^ 2008 Senate Race Ratings The Cook Political Report, October 9, 2008
  7. ^ 2008 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, September 29, 2008

External links

  • Elections Division from the Texas Secretary of State
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Texas at Project Vote Smart
  • Texas, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
  • Texas U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
  • Texas Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
  • Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
  • Cornyn (R-i) vs Noriega (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Official campaign websites
    • John Cornyn, Republican candidate
    • Rick Noriega, Democratic candidate
    • Yvonne Schick, Libertarian candidate
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