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Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014

November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Scott Walker Mary Burke
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Rebecca Kleefisch John Lehman
Popular vote 1,259,706[1] 1,122,913
Percentage 52.26% 46.59%

Election results by county

Governor before election

Scott Walker
Republican

Elected Governor

Scott Walker
Republican

The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the State of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic businesswoman and Madison school board member Mary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Walker, who was elected in 2010, survived an attempted recall in 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Barrett. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House.[2] Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to Republican Vernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being Republican Lee S. Dreyfus in 1978.[3]

The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup.

Contents

  • Republican primary 1
    • Candidates 1.1
      • Declared 1.1.1
    • Results 1.2
  • Democratic primary 2
    • Candidates 2.1
      • Declared 2.1.1
      • Disqualified 2.1.2
      • Declined 2.1.3
    • Endorsements 2.2
    • Polling 2.3
    • Results 2.4
  • Third parties and independents 3
    • Candidates 3.1
      • Declared 3.1.1
      • Disqualified 3.1.2
  • General election 4
    • Results 4.1
    • Polling 4.2
  • References 5
  • External links 6

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker 238,715 99.42%
Republican Steve Evans (write-in) 94 0.04%
No party Scattering 1,293 0.54%
Totals 240,102 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Marcia Mercedes Perkins[7]
  • Hari Trivedi, Independent candidate for governor in the 2012 recall election[7]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mary
Burke
Brett
Hulsey
Marcia Mercedes
Perkins
Hari
Trivedi
Other Undecided
Marquette University May 15–18, 2014 ? ± ? 66% 3% 1% 1% 24%

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Burke 259,926 83.28%
Democratic Brett Hulsey 51,830 16.61%
No party Scattering 350 0.11%
Totals 312,106 100%

Third parties and independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Joseph Brost
  • Dennis Fehr (The People's Party), businessman and founder of The People's Party[28]
  • Brett Hulsey (write-in), State Representative[29]

Disqualified

General election

Results

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (Incumbent) 1,259,706 52.26%
Democratic Mary Burke 1,122,913 46.59%
Libertarian Robert Burke 18,720 0.78%
Independent Dennis Fehr 7,530 0.31%
Majority 136,793 5.67%
Totals 2,410,314 100%
Republican hold

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Mary
Burke (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,494 ± 3.4% 45% 43% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling October 28–30, 2014 1,814 ± 3% 48% 47% 5%
Marquette University October 23–26, 2014 1,164 LV ± 3% 49.9% 42.7% 0.7% 6.7%
1,409 RV ± 2.7% 46.1% 44.7% 0.8% 8.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,308 ± 3% 46% 45% 0% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 973 ± 3% 48% 49% 1% 2%
WPR/St. Norbert College October 18–21, 2014 525 ± 4.4% 47% 46% 6%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2014 860 ± ? 47% 46% 7%
Marquette University October 9–12, 2014 803 LV ± 3.5% 47.4% 47.3% 0.4% 4.9%
1,004 RV ± 3.2% 47.8% 45.4% 0.5% 6.3%
Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2014 837 ± 3% 50% 46% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,444 ± 3% 48% 49% 0% 3%
Marquette University September 25–28, 2014 585 LV ± 4.1% 50.5% 44.7% 0.7% 4.1%
801 RV ± 3.5% 46.4% 45.1% 0.9% 7.6%
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 908 ± 3% 45% 50% 4%
Rasmussen Reports September 15–16, 2014 650 ± 4% 48% 46% 3% 3%
Marquette University September 11–14, 2014 589 LV ± 4.1% 49.4% 45.8% 0.5% 4.3%
800 RV ± 3.5% 46.2% 46.3% 0.7% 6.9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,473 ± 4% 49% 45% 0% 5%
We Ask America September 3, 2014 1,170 LV ± 3% 44% 48% 2% 6%
Marquette University August 21–24, 2014 609 LV ± 4.1% 46.5% 48.6% 0.6% 4.2%
815 RV ± 3.5% 47.5% 44.1% 0.8% 7.5%
Rasmussen Reports August 13–14, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 47% 5%
Gravis Marketing July 31–August 2, 2014 1,346 ± 3% 47% 47% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,968 ± ? 47% 46% 1% 5%
Marquette University July 17–20, 2014 549 LV ± 4.3% 46% 47% 1% 8%
804 RV ± 3.5% 46% 45% 1% 8%
Marquette University May 15–18, 2014 805 ± 3.5% 46% 46% 6%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014 1,144 ± 2.9% 48% 45% 7%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 851 ± 3.36% 47% 47% 2% 4%
St. Norbert College March 24–April 3, 2014 401 ± 5% 55% 40% 5%
Marquette University March 20–23, 2014 801 ± 3.5% 48% 41% 11%
Gravis Marketing March 17, 2014 988 ± 4% 49% 44% 7%
Rasmussen Reports March 10–11, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 45% 45% 5% 5%
Marquette University January 20–23, 2014 802 ± 3.5% 47% 41% 8%
Marquette University October 21–24, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 47% 45% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,180 ± 2.9% 48% 42% 10%

References

  1. ^ a b http://gab.wi.govs/default/files/11.4.14%20Summary%20Results-all%20offices.pdf. 
  2. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (August 23, 2013). "Scott Walker's Ticket to Ride: Obama in the White House?". Smart Politics. 
  3. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2014). "Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up?". Smart Politics. 
  4. ^ "8 firebrand GOP governors meet 2014's political reality". Greenbay Press Gazette. June 5, 2013. Retrieved September 1, 2014. 
  5. ^ a b "Official Election Results". G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System. Retrieved September 1, 2014. 
  6. ^ Bauer, Scott (June 25, 2013). "Democrats testing potential candidacy of Mary Burke against Walker in 2014". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 27, 2013. 
  7. ^ a b c Craver, Jack (April 21, 2014). "'"Brett Hulsey running for Wisconsin governor: 'I promise you it will be very entertaining.  
  8. ^ Schultze, Steve (February 26, 2013). "Citing rapport with Gov. Walker, Abele says he's not contemplating 2014 Democratic run for governor".  
  9. ^ Umhoefer, Dave (June 4, 2013). "Barrett: Will Walker run for governor again?".  
  10. ^ Kertscher, Tom (March 18, 2013). "Run for governor? Brewer Deb Carey prefers suds to hot oil".  
  11. ^ Walker, Don (June 7, 2013). "Russ Feingold teases Democrats about 2016 Senate run".  
  12. ^ Glauber, Bill (August 30, 2013). "Winnebago County Exec Mark Harris declines run for governor".  
  13. ^ Beckett, Andrew (June 8, 2013). "Kind says no plans to run for governor". Wisconsin Radio Network. Retrieved June 8, 2013. 
  14. ^ a b c d e f Stein, Jason (December 15, 2012). "Few Democrats lining up to challenge Walker in 2014".  
  15. ^ a b Adair, Paul (July 2, 2013). "Who Will be Elected Governor in 2014". Germantown Now. Retrieved August 26, 2013. 
  16. ^ Patrick Marley (January 17, 2014). "Kathleen Vinehout announces she won't run for governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved January 17, 2014. 
  17. ^ a b c d Ross, JR (June 9, 2012). "2014 Dem field unclear as party looks to next shot at Walker".  
  18. ^ a b Penzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessica (June 7, 2013). "Walker's next opponent could come from Northeastern Wisconsin".  
  19. ^ a b c d e f g h Camp, Aaron (June 6, 2013). "Can a woman defeat Scott Walker in 2014? YES!!!". The Apollo Report. Retrieved August 15, 2013. 
  20. ^ a b c d Camp, Aaron (August 12, 2013). "Is a competitive Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin inevitable?". The Prairie Badger. Retrieved August 15, 2013. 
  21. ^ a b c d e f Penzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessie (June 7, 2013). "Fox Valley's Nelson, Harris could present challenge to Walker in 2014".  
  22. ^ "WI-Gov: Sara Johann considering run".  
  23. ^ Stein, Jason (October 24, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Mary Burke, could bring big campaign money".  
  24. ^ "ENDORSED CANDIDATES". ppawi.com. Retrieved November 7, 2013. 
  25. ^ DeFour, Matthew (October 22, 2013). "On Politics: Progressives United will support Mary Burke against Scott Walker".  
  26. ^ "Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters Endorses Mary Burke for Governor". Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters. April 21, 2014. Retrieved April 21, 2014. 
  27. ^ Kertscher, Tom (February 14, 2014). "A Mary Burke and a Robert Burke running for governor?". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 4, 2014. 
  28. ^ Aarik Woods (March 19, 2014). "Local man launches campaign for governor's race". wqow.com. Retrieved April 10, 2014. 
  29. ^ Wagman, Jen (October 23, 2014). "State Rep. Brad Hulsey launches write-in campaign for governor". The Daily Cardinal. Retrieved October 28, 2014. 
  30. ^ Horne, Michael (June 8, 2013). "Ahoy! Pirate Party Will Rally Downtown". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved June 13, 2013. 

External links

  • Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
  • Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
Official campaign websites
  • Scott Walker for Governor
  • Mary Burke for Governor
  • Robert Burke
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