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Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010

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Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010

Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010

November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Pat Quinn Bill Brady
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sheila Simon Jason Plummer
Popular vote 1,745,219 1,713,385
Percentage 46.8% 45.9%

County results

Governor before election

Pat Quinn
Democratic

Elected Governor

Pat Quinn
Democratic

The election for Governor of Illinois was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Governor Pat Quinn, a Democrat, sought and was elected to a full term.[1] Quinn was elected as the Democratic nominee,[2] the Green Party nominee was Rich Whitney, the Republican nominee was State Senator Bill Brady, the Libertarian Party nominee was Lex Green, and Scott Lee Cohen ran as an independent. Governor Quinn won election to a full term in a very close race, beating Senator Brady by only about 32,000 votes, despite Brady winning in 98 of 102 Illinois counties.[3]

Prior to the general election, the primary election in February 2010 featured extremely close races between candidates for the two largest parties' nominations. Quinn warded off a challenge by Comptroller Dan Hynes by a margin of about 8,300 votes, while Brady won the Republican nomination on the strength of less than a 200-vote margin in a fractured seven-way race.

The election marked the first time since 1852 that Democrats had won three consecutive Illinois gubernatorial elections.[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Debates

Democratic candidates Quinn and Hynes debated on January 19.[5] WSIU Public Broadcasting (WSIU (FM)/WSIU-TV) at Southern Illinois University and Illinois Public Media (WILL AM/FM/TV) at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign also co-sponsored two gubernatorial primary election debates.[6][7] Pat Quinn and Dan Hynes debated on January 21, 2010.[8]

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Pat Quinn Lisa Madigan Dan Hynes Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 26, 2010 40% 41% 19%
Chicago Tribune January 16–20, 2010 44% 40% 15%
Chicago Tribune December 2–8, 2009 49% 23% 23%
Simon Public Policy October 16, 2009 33.9% 16.5% 35.4%
Public Policy Polling April 24–26, 2009 29% 45% 26%

Results

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pat Quinn (Incumbent) 462,049 50.46%
Democratic Dan Hynes 453,677 49.54%
Totals 915,726 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Brady 155,527 20.26%
Republican Kirk Dillard 155,334 20.24%
Republican Andy McKenna 148,054 19.29%
Republican Jim Ryan 130,785 17.04%
Republican Adam Andrzejewski 111,030 14.47%
Republican Dan Proft 59,335 7.73%
Republican Robert Schillerstrom 7,420 0.97%
Totals 767,485 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Rich Whitney, 2006 Green Party nominee for Governor

Results

Green Party primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Rich Whitney 5,086 100.00%
Totals 5,086 100.00%

General election

Candidates

  • Pat Quinn (Democratic) (campaign website): Incumbent governor who assumed office after the impeachment of Rod Blagojevich; sought a full term in 2010.[1] Quinn was previously Revenue Director for the City of Chicago, State Treasurer (1990-1994), and an unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senator (1996), Illinois Secretary of State (1994), and Lieutenant Governor (1998).
  • Bill Brady (Republican) (campaign website): State senator, real estate and construction businessman, unsuccessful candidate for the Republican nomination for Governor in 2006[10]
  • Scott Lee Cohen (Independent): Former Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2010 who was replaced by Sheila Simon after withdrawing due to allegations of abuse toward his wife and other charges. Cohen was reported to have been in a private meeting with Speaker Michael Madigan discussing his plan for running against Quinn.[12]

Campaign

After the February 2 Democratic primary in which incumbent Governor Pat Quinn was re-nominated, attention was drawn to Scott Lee Cohen, the Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor. Illinois law required that candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor run in separate primary elections, but run as a ticket in the November general election. Cohen was criticized for his having been charged with domestic battery, in which he was accused of holding a knife to the throat of an ex-girlfriend who was also a convicted prostitute. Cohen was also accused by his ex-wife of physical abuse and using illegally obtained anabolic steroids.[13] Quinn and Dick Durbin, Illinois's senior U.S. Senator, both said that Cohen should withdraw his candidacy,[14][15] which he did on February 7.[16] Cohen ran as an independent candidate for the office of Governor against Quinn.[12]

On March 27, 2010, the Democratic State Central Committee chose a replacement candidate, Sheila Simon.[17][18] Dan Hynes, who placed second in the gubernatorial primary, denied interest in replacing Cohen on the ticket.[18] Other names suggested included State Representative Art Turner, who placed second to Cohen in the Democratic primary and then finished second to Simon in committee balloting on March 27, 2010; State Senators Rickey Hendon and Terry Link, State Representative Mike Boland, and electrician Thomas Castillo, all of whom also ran in the primary; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs official Tammy Duckworth; and State Representative Julie Hamos were suggested as possible replacements.[18] Jeff Melvin, a 21-year retired Army veteran, also applied to the open nominating call for the Democratic Lieutenant Governor position.[19]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Lean R[20] October 28, 2010
Rothenberg Lean R[21] October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics Toss up[22] October 28, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans R[23] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[24] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Bill
Brady (R)
Rich
Whitney (G)
Other Unde-
cided
Fox News ([1]) October 23, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 39% 44% 4% 7% 6%
Chicago Tribune ([2]) October 18–22, 2010 700 ± 3.7% 39% 43% 4% 7% 6%
Rasmussen Reports ([3]) October 20, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 37% 45% 2% 7% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 12, 2010 750 ± 4.5% 40% 46% 2% 9% 3%
Southern Illinois University ([4]) September 30 – October 10, 2010 ± 3.5% 29.8% 38.4% 2.2% 5.9% -
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 4, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 46% 4% 5% 8%
Suffolk University (report) September 30 – October 3, 2010 500 ±4.4% 43% 37% 3% 8% 8%
(Public Policy Polling) September 30, 2010 470 ±4.5% 35% 42% 4% 8% 11%
Chicago Tribune (report) September 24–28, 2010 600 ±4% 39% 38% 3% 8% 12%
CNN/TIME (report) September 24–28, 2010 1,504 ±2.5% 38% 40% 4% 16% 2%
We Ask America ([5]) September 13, 2010 1,050 ±2.70% 32% 42% 4% 16%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 12, 2010 750 ±4.0% 37% 50% 4% 7% 3%
Chicago Tribune (report) Aug. 28 – Sept. 1, 2010 600 ±4.0% 32% 37% 2% 19%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 23, 2010 750 ±4.0% 37% 46% 6% 11%
Public Policy Polling (report) August 14–15, 2010 576 ±4.1% 30% 39% 11% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 9, 2010 750 ±4.0% 35% 48% 6% 12%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 27, 2010 750 ±4.0% 37% 44% 11% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 7, 2010 500 ±4.5% 40% 43% 9% 8%
Public Policy Polling (report) June 12–13, 2010 552 ±4.2% 30% 34% 9% 27%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 7, 2010 500 ±4.5% 36% 47% 8% 10%
Research 2000 (report) May 3–5, 2010 600 ±4.0% 36% 39% 25%
We Ask America ([6]) May 2, 2010 1,050 ±3.02% 31.15% 46.25% 4.81% 17.79%
Rasmussen Reports (report) April 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 45% 5% 11%
Rasmussen Reports ([7]) April 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 45% 7% 10%
Public Policy Polling (report) April 5, 2010 591 ± 4.0% 33% 43% 24%
We Ask America ([8]) March 10, 2010 798 3.5% 31.58% 44.61% 3.51% 20.30%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 47% 6% 9%
Research 2000 (report) February 22 –24, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 47% 32% 1% 20%
The Illinois Poll ([9]) February 7, 2010 1,200 ± 2.8% 42% 31% 4% 23%
Rasmussen Reports (report) December 14, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 45% 30% 13% 13%

Results

Even though Brady won 98 out of the 102 counties, Quinn won overwhelmingly Democratic and highly populated Cook County, thus putting Quinn on top.
Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Pat Quinn (Incumbent) 1,745,219 46.79% -3.00%
Republican Bill Brady 1,713,385 45.94% +6.68%
Independent Scott Lee Cohen 135,705 3.64%
Green Rich Whitney 100,756 2.70% -7.66%
Libertarian Lex Green 34,681 0.93%
Majority 31,834 0.85% -9.68%
Turnout 3,729,989
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

  1. ^ a b  
  2. ^ Long, Ray (2010-02-04). "Hynes concedes Dem governor race to Quinn".  
  3. ^ "Ballots Cast". Elections.il.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14. 
  4. ^ Résultats des élections des gouverneurs dans l'Illinois
  5. ^ VIDEO: Democrats running for governor debate, ABC7 Chicago, January 19, 2010
  6. ^ Public media to air gubernatorial debates in January The News-Gazette, December 30, 2009
  7. ^ "Illinois Public Media, WSIU Host Gubernatorial Debate". WILL Press Room (Press release).  
  8. ^ WSIU Prepares Voters For February 2nd Primary Election, WSIU
  9. ^ a b c "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14. 
  10. ^  
  11. ^ "Lex Green for Governor of Illinois in 2010". Electlex.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  12. ^ a b [10]
  13. ^ Secter, Bob; Heinzmann, David; Kidwell, David (February 7, 2010). "Behind the man who could be lieutenant governor".  
  14. ^ Pallasch, Abdon M.; McKinney, Dave (February 4, 2010). "Lt. gov. nominee: I won't drop out of race over abuse history". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved February 8, 2010. 
  15. ^ Esposito, Stefano;  
  16. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (February 7, 2010). "Illinois lieutenant governor nominee Scott Lee Cohen withdraws".  
  17. ^ "Clout St: Democrats pick Simon as Quinn's running mate". Newsblogs.chicagotribune.com. 2010-03-27. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  18. ^ a b c "Hynes not interested in Illinois". Blogs.suntimes.com. Retrieved 2013-10-14. 
  19. ^ [11]
  20. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings".  
  21. ^ "Governor Ratings".  
  22. ^ "2010 Governor Races".  
  23. ^ "2010 Governor Ratings".  
  24. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor".  
  25. ^ "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14. 

External links

  • Illinois State Board of Elections
    • Official candidate list
  • Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010 at Ballotpedia
  • Illinois Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
  • Campaign contributions for 2010 Illinois Governor from Follow the Money
  • Illinois Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • 2010 Illinois Senate General Election: Mark Kirk (R) vs Alexi Giannoulias (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Illinois Governor from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 Illinois Governor - Brady vs. Quinn from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 Illinois Governor's Race from CQ Politics
  • Race Profile in The New York Times
  • Race for Governor from the Chicago Tribune
Primary election debates
  • Republican Primary Debate (November 5, 2009) video from sponsor Illinois Republican Party
  • Republican (January 13) and Democratic (January 19, 2010) Primary Debates videos from sponsor ABC7 Chicago
  • Republican (January 14) and Democratic (January 21, 2010) Primary Debates audio and video from sponsors WSIU and Illinois Public Media (WILL)
General election debates and forums
  • Illinois Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 29, 2010
  • Candidate forum Chicago Tonight, October 28, 2010
Official campaign sites
  • Bill Brady for Illinois Governor
  • Pat Quinn for Illinois Governor incumbent
  • Richard Whitney for Illinois Governor
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